BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 117 Overall: (1-7) Overall Strength = 113.06
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-4) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W * 118.68 20 10 1B 119 (2-6) Alcorn St 9.74 -9.43 0.26
2 09/06/2025 Away L 97.83 0 66 1A 74 (5-3) Minnesota -11.11 * -30.02 -54.89
3 09/13/2025 Away L 106.58 0 70 1A 32 (7-1) Cincinnati -2.36 * -42.84 -67.64
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 121.31 24 27 1B 93 (6-2) Prairie View A&M 12.37 -10.58 -15.37
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 97.75 10 40 1B 68 (2-6) East Texas A&M -11.19 -0.00 -18.81
6 10/11/2025 Away L * * 117.94 17 20 1B 104 (2-6) Houston Christian 9.00 -17.22 -12.00
7 10/18/2025 Away L * * 101.78 0 49 1B 11 (6-2) SE Louisiana -7.16 * -36.86 -41.84
8 10/25/2025 Home L * * 109.63 14 41 1B 34 (7-1) Lamar 0.69 -23.94 -27.69
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1B 94 (2-6) McNeese St -12.68
10 11/08/2025 Home * * 1B 62 (2-6) Incarnate Word -17.73
11 11/15/2025 Away * * 1B 73 (2-6) Nicholls St -19.38
12 11/20/2025 Home * * 1B 15 (6-2) Stephen F. Austin -31.48
Averages 108.94 10.6 40.4
Best game: 121.31 = 3 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Worst game: 97.75 = 30 point loss to East Texas A&M
Team stdev: 9.52