BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 117 Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength =  103.36
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-8) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-9)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/28/2025 Home    W   * 117.30  20  10   1B 106 ( 5- 7) Alcorn St              17.27     -9.43   -7.27                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L      93.35   0  66   1A  66 ( 7- 5) Minnesota              -6.68 *  -30.02  -59.32                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    L      94.61   0  70   1A  47 ( 7- 5) Cincinnati             -5.42 *  -42.84  -64.58                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L   * 122.79  24  27   1B  53 (10- 3) Prairie View A&M       22.76    -10.58  -25.76                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    L * *  85.57  10  40   1B  88 ( 3- 9) East Texas A&M        -14.46     -0.00  -15.54                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    L * * 107.56  17  20   1B 110 ( 2-10) Houston Christian       7.53    -17.22  -10.53                      
 7 10/18/2025 Away    L * *  92.35   0  49   1B  22 ( 9- 4) SE Louisiana           -7.68 *  -36.82  -41.32                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    L * * 101.42  14  41   1B  33 ( 8- 5) Lamar                   1.39    -23.99  -28.39                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    L * *  77.78   3  50   1B  68 ( 5- 7) McNeese St            -22.25    -12.65  -24.75                      
10 11/08/2025 Home    L * *  93.14   3  38   1B  39 ( 5- 7) Incarnate Word         -6.89    -25.20  -28.11                      
11 11/15/2025 Away    L * * 121.31  21  26   1B  63 ( 4- 8) Nicholls St            21.28    -27.92  -26.28                      
12 11/20/2025 Home    L * *  93.19  14  62   1B   9 (11- 2) Stephen F. Austin      -6.84 *  -37.11  -41.16                      
      Averages             100.03  10.5 41.6

Best game:  122.79 = 3 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Worst game:  77.78 = 47 point loss to McNeese St
Team stdev:  14.33