BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Northwestern St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 118 Overall: (1-11) Overall Strength =  102.51
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-8) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-9)
                                                                                         pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 08/28/2025 Home    W   * 116.25  20  10   1B 108 ( 5- 7) Alcorn St              17.24     -9.43   -7.24                      
 2 09/06/2025 Away    L      92.69   0  66   1A  68 ( 8- 5) Minnesota              -6.32 *  -30.02  -59.68                      
 3 09/13/2025 Away    L      91.25   0  70   1A  57 ( 7- 6) Cincinnati             -7.76 *  -42.84  -62.24                      
 4 09/20/2025 Away    L   * 121.94  24  27   1B  55 (10- 4) Prairie View A&M       22.93    -10.58  -25.93                      
 5 10/04/2025 Home    L * *  84.88  10  40   1B  89 ( 3- 9) East Texas A&M        -14.13      0.00  -15.87                      
 6 10/11/2025 Away    L * * 106.70  17  20   1B 110 ( 2-10) Houston Christian       7.70    -17.22  -10.70                      
 7 10/18/2025 Away    L * *  91.67   0  49   1B  22 ( 9- 4) SE Louisiana           -7.33 *  -36.84  -41.67                      
 8 10/25/2025 Home    L * * 100.47  14  41   1B  34 ( 8- 5) Lamar                   1.47    -23.98  -28.47                      
 9 11/01/2025 Away    L * *  76.85   3  50   1B  68 ( 5- 7) McNeese St            -22.15    -12.67  -24.85                      
10 11/08/2025 Home    L * *  92.41   3  38   1B  39 ( 5- 7) Incarnate Word         -6.60    -25.17  -28.40                      
11 11/15/2025 Away    L * * 120.57  21  26   1B  64 ( 4- 8) Nicholls St            21.56    -27.95  -26.56                      
12 11/20/2025 Home    L * *  92.40  14  62   1B  10 (11- 3) Stephen F. Austin      -6.61 *  -38.66  -41.39                      
      Averages              99.01  10.5 41.6

Best game:  121.94 = 3 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Worst game:  76.85 = 47 point loss to McNeese St
Team stdev:  14.40