BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northwestern St
Class: 1B Class Rank: 120 Overall: (1-4) Overall Strength = 120.18
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-1) | District: 1B-01 Record: (1-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/28/2025 Home W * 124.71 20 10 1B 124 (0-5) Alcorn St 8.66 -9.43 1.34
2 09/06/2025 Away L 102.99 0 66 1A 88 (3-2) Minnesota -13.06 * -30.02 -52.94
3 09/13/2025 Away L 116.72 0 70 1A 32 (4-1) Cincinnati 0.67 * -42.84 -70.67
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 130.33 24 27 1B 100 (4-2) Prairie View A&M 14.28 -10.57 -17.28
5 10/04/2025 Home L * * 105.49 10 40 1B 76 (1-4) East Texas A&M -10.56 -0.17 -19.44
6 10/11/2025 Away * * 1B 83 (1-4) Houston Christian -17.13
7 10/18/2025 Away * * 1B 11 (4-2) SE Louisiana -41.85
8 10/25/2025 Home * * 1B 38 (4-1) Lamar -25.94
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1B 95 (1-5) McNeese St -14.85
10 11/08/2025 Home * * 1B 44 (2-4) Incarnate Word -23.48
11 11/15/2025 Away * * 1B 62 (1-5) Nicholls St -22.77
12 11/20/2025 Home * * 1B 20 (4-2) Stephen F. Austin -32.98
Averages 116.05 10.8 42.6
Best game: 130.33 = 3 point loss to Prairie View A&M
Worst game: 102.99 = 66 point loss to Minnesota
Team stdev: 11.85